Question
Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?
Total Forecasters152
Community Prediction
54%
(47% - 62%)
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 13, 2018
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will a senolytic therapy for a companion animal be commercially available before one for humans?
70%
Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?
20%
Will an FDA-approved diagnostic test that predicts individual response to longevity interventions be commercially available and covered by insurers by January 1, 2030?
55%
Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 13, 2018
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will a senolytic therapy for a companion animal be commercially available before one for humans?
70%
Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?
20%
Will an FDA-approved diagnostic test that predicts individual response to longevity interventions be commercially available and covered by insurers by January 1, 2030?
55%