Question

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

34 comments34

Total Forecasters153

Community Prediction

54%

(44% - 62%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 54%

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Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 11, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 13, 2018

Will a senolytic therapy for a companion animal be commercially available before one for humans?

70%

Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?

20%

Will an FDA-approved diagnostic test that predicts individual response to longevity interventions be commercially available and covered by insurers by January 1, 2030?

55%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 11, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 13, 2018

Will a senolytic therapy for a companion animal be commercially available before one for humans?

70%

Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?

20%

Will an FDA-approved diagnostic test that predicts individual response to longevity interventions be commercially available and covered by insurers by January 1, 2030?

55%