161 forecasters

Will a mouse be confirmed to have lived for 2,500 days before 1 January 2035?

56%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

Forecast Timeline

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 11, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 11, 2018