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26
285
forecasters
36
26 comments
285 forecasters
Natural Sciences
2 more...
Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?
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2%
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Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?
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What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?
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While cryopreservation using fixatives is available, how many times more likely will someone be to be revived by 2200 if they are cryopreserved using fixatives than without?
Current estimate
11.4
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Revival chance at Alcor vs Cryonics Institute
Current estimate
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Date First Cryofrozen Large Mammal Revived?
Current estimate
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