35 comments
143 forecasters
When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?
Current estimate
2225
Key Factors
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Dec 14, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2250
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2500
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 14, 2018
When will a living human first reach a distance of one light year from Earth?
2373
(2153 - >3000)
2373
(2153 - >3000)
65 forecasters
What will be the greatest velocity (in c) attained by a human-made spacecraft before 2050?
0.00268 c
(0.00101 - 0.0118)
0.00268 c
(0.00101 - 0.0118)
76 forecasters
Before January 1, 2030 will any public or private space company announce plans to reach "Oumuamua"?
0.2% chance
22