Question

Will there be a commercial service to travel between London and New York City in under three hours before 2030?

36 comments36

Total Forecasters234

Community Prediction

(2% - 12%)

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50%

community: 5%

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Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 16, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 17, 2018

Economy & Business

Technology

Report: Short Term Passenger Flights in Electric Airplanes Soon a Reality

Breitbart•Jun 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the next commercial supersonic flight occur?

>Dec 2030

By 2050, will it be possible to purchase a zero-emissions flight from New York to London for less than half US weekly household income?

40%

Will there be an ocean liner on an Atlantic route in 2035?

80%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 16, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 17, 2018

Economy & Business

Technology

Report: Short Term Passenger Flights in Electric Airplanes Soon a Reality

Breitbart•Jun 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the next commercial supersonic flight occur?

>Dec 2030

By 2050, will it be possible to purchase a zero-emissions flight from New York to London for less than half US weekly household income?

40%

Will there be an ocean liner on an Atlantic route in 2035?

80%