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Authors:
Opened:Jul 1, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2045
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 2, 2020
Conditional on civilization launching one or more von Neumann probes by 2200 that will reach another solar system within 100,000 years, what will be the average speed of the fastest one, in c (> 1)?
193 c
(1.33 - 125k)
193 c
(1.33 - 125k)
4 forecasters
Will Elon Musk's Tesla Roadster be visited by a spacecraft before 2050?
5% chance
60
Conditional on civilization launching one or more von Neumann probes by 2200 that will reach another solar system within 100,000 years, what will be the average speed of the fastest one, in c?
0.12 c
(0.0156 - 0.351)
0.12 c
(0.0156 - 0.351)
9 forecasters