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61 forecasters

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61 forecasters

Will there be an open-source LLM with the capabilities of GPT 4 before 2027?

ResolvedYes

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3 comments19 forecasters

Russian LLM in Chatbot Arena top 100 before 2027?

1 comment43 forecasters

GPT-6 release date?

Current estimate

0 comments25 forecasters

Dates Large AI Models Released

13 comments13 forecasters

5 million token context AI

Current estimate

5 comments10 forecasters

When will LLMs beat superforecasters at ForecastBench?

Current estimate

0 comments13 forecasters

Dates Publicly Downloadable Large AI Models

22 comments30 forecasters

General AI solves International Math Olympiad

Current estimate

6 comments60 forecasters

When will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be publicly available?

Current estimate