61 forecasters

Will there be an open-source LLM with the capabilities of GPT 4 before 2027?

99%chance

99%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 26, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2026

Resolved:

Apr 21, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 28, 2023

Computing and Math

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