11 comments
52 forecasters
When will a reliable and general household robot be developed?
Current estimate
Mar 2032
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 30, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:May 1, 2023
When will there be a robot available for sale to the general public which can reliably and safely change an infant human diaper unassisted?
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When will a humanoid robot be created that the general public judges as indistinguishable from humans?
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When will a general purpose robotic manipulator be available, at a price under 1k (2022 USD)?
Jul 2032
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