Question
When will a reliable and general household robot be developed?
Total Forecasters52
Community Prediction
Mar 2032
(12 Apr 2029 - Jan 2038)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 12 Apr 2029 | — |
| median | Mar 2032 | — |
| upper 75% | Jan 2038 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2040 | 20.0% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 30, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:May 1, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Apr 30, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:May 1, 2023