61 comments
209 forecasters
If the James Webb Space Telescope is launched, will it succeed in transmitting cosmological data?
91%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 91% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 1, 2019
Closes:Dec 24, 2021
Resolved:Jul 11, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 2, 2019
When will the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope be launched?
21 May 2029
(21 Aug 2027 - Jan 2032)
21 May 2029
(21 Aug 2027 - Jan 2032)
19 forecasters
Will a space-based interferometer detect a gravitational wave background attributable to cosmological sources?
53% chance
18
Will a proof-of-concept experiment for space-based carbon capture be successfully completed before 2031?
5% chance
21