16 comments
71 forecasters
Will President Trump fire (or request and accept the resignation of) Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve?
10%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 10% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 24, 2018
Closes:Mar 1, 2019
Resolved:Jan 20, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 25, 2018
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will an attempt be made to fire Jerome Powell before the end of his term?
25% chance
175
Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?
10% chance
1.1k
Will a new Federal Open Markets Committee member be appointed before any member's term is over and before January 20, 2029?
89% chance
259