12 comments
61 forecasters
Will there be another terrorist attack causing more than 25 deaths in the United States before 2020?
25%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 25% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Dec 25, 2018
Closes:Feb 1, 2019
Resolved:Jan 1, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 26, 2018
Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?
4% chance
94
By 2030, will at least 10,000 Americans die in a single year from a single conflict?
9% chance
124
How many deaths will be caused by terrorism globally in 2025?
26k deaths
(21.1k - 34.4k)
26k deaths
(21.1k - 34.4k)
12 forecasters