30 comments
327 forecasters
Will George R. R. Martin die before the final book of A Song Of Ice And Fire is published?
80%chance
This question is closed for predictions.
Authors:
Opened:Dec 30, 2018 
Closed:Jan 1, 2023 
Scheduled resolution:Mar 1, 2026 
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2018 
When, before 2040, will George R. R. Martin's "The Winds of Winter" be released?
Oct 2033 
(03 Aug 2029 - Feb 2038)
Oct 2033 
(03 Aug 2029 - Feb 2038)
19 forecasters
Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?
28% chance
28
When will George R. R. Martin's “The Winds of Winter” be released?
>31 Dec 2026 
(>31 Dec 2026 - >31 Dec 2026)
>31 Dec 2026 
(>31 Dec 2026 - >31 Dec 2026)
31 forecasters