🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

If President Donald Trump is impeached, will the impeachment trial end with conviction and removal of the sitting president?

Resolved :No1%
23
44
Total Forecasters154
Community Prediction1% (1% - 4%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
74.4
Community Peer Score
8.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
deKlik
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2016-2020 Leaderboard
US House of Representatives
Constitution of the US
President of the US
Donald Trump
US Senate

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