Question
When will an agentized-LLM system like Auto-GPT be first reported to have been used to do significant real-world harm?
Total Forecasters43
Community Prediction
05 May 2024
(30 Nov 2023 - 13 Jan 2025)
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CDF
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 30 Nov 2023 | — |
| median | 05 May 2024 | — |
| upper 75% | 13 Jan 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30 Dec 2026 | 4.3% | — |
Authors:
Opened:May 14, 2023
Closed:Jun 10, 2023
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:May 15, 2023
Authors:
Opened:May 14, 2023
Closed:Jun 10, 2023
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:May 15, 2023
