🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Donald Trump complete his elected term(s) as President?

Resolved :Yes92%
22
15
Total Forecasters189
Community Prediction92% (80% - 96%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 92%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
80.0
Community Peer Score
7.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
DanielG
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2016-2020 Leaderboard
Donald Trump
President of the US

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