Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
2
43
forecasters
7
2 comments
43 forecasters
Regulation of AI
2 more...
Will the US place restrictions on the total compute capacity individuals or companies are allowed to have before 2026?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
No
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (2)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
13 comments
106 forecasters
US Compute Capacity Restrictions before 2050?
39.9%
chance
29 comments
145 forecasters
US/EU restriction on data center grid before Sep 2026?
30%
chance
4 comments
59 forecasters
Cybersecurity Laws for Powerful AI by 2030?
85%
chance
5 comments
78 forecasters
What percentage of AI computational performance in the US on Jan 1, 2028?
Current estimate
62.8%
4 comments
72 forecasters
Open-source AI regulation 2028
33%
chance
1 comment
8 forecasters
What will be the total AI compute capacity on January 1, 2028?
Current estimate
105M H100 Equivalents
11 comments
127 forecasters
Highest percentage of compute capacity held by one organisation on Jan 1, 2028?
Current estimate
22.7%
2 comments
56 forecasters
Major CSP buys PRC-designed AI chip by 2028?
OVH
14%
Amazon Web Services
5%
Microsoft Azure
5%
Google Cloud
3%