Question

Will the US require and verify reporting of large AI training runs before 2026?

Resolved:Yes
11
11
Total Forecasters33
Community Prediction
51%
(34% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 51%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score
5.5
Community Baseline Score
-18.8
Authors:
dschwarzPeterWildefordwill_aldred
Opened:May 17, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Resolves:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 19, 2023
Regulation of AI
Artificial Intelligence
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