8 comments
60 forecasters
Will three or more Frontier AI Labs issue a joint statement committing to constrain their AI's capabilities before 2026?
0.5%chance
2.3 points
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
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Opened:May 17, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 19, 2023
