conditional

Make a Prediction

Agentized LLM Improves self by July 1, 2023?

When will agentized-LLMs first cause harm?

PDF

CDF

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%04 Dec 2023
median11 May 2024
upper 75%20 Jan 2025
Upper bound
>30 Dec 20261.2%

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Opened:May 14, 2023
Closed:Jun 10, 2023
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2027