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67 forecasters

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67 forecasters

Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

ResolvedNo

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13 comments140 forecasters

AI Unauthorized Access Before 2033?

3 comments9 forecasters

Russian theft of frontier AI weights by 2030?

4 comments2 forecasters

Exfiltration of Compute-Intensive AI Models

Year: 2040 FLOPs: 10e3299.4%

Year: 2036 FLOPs: 10e3287.7%

Year: 2028 FLOPs: 10e2877.5%

Year: 2032 FLOPs: 10e3072.8%

Year: 2026 FLOPs: 10e26result: No

3 comments72 forecasters

AI Blackmail for Material Gain by EOY 2028

26 comments148 forecasters

AI incident causes $1bn damage before 2032

2 comments81 forecasters

Will cyberattack targeting AI cause power blackout in the US before 2028?

2 comments51 forecasters

CTs Power-Seeking AI Shut Off

10 comments17 forecasters

When will an AI gain unauthorized access to other systems?

Current estimate