Question

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Resolved:No
3
3
Total Forecasters82
Community Prediction
0.5%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
95.1
Community Peer Score
13.3
Authors:
dschwarzwill_aldred
Opened:May 23, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Dec 31, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 25, 2023
AI Safety
Artificial Intelligence
Computing and Math
2021-2025 Leaderboard