Question

What percentage of American adults in 2070 will identify as LGBTQ?

Total Forecasters80
Community Prediction
13.4%
(8.45% - 18.7%)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<3.5%5.5%
Quartiles
lower 25%8.446%
median13.41%
upper 75%18.66%
Upper bound
>20%17.2%
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Authors:
Opened:May 26, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2071
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2073
Spot Scoring Time:May 28, 2023