Question
What percentage of American adults in 2070 will identify as LGBTQ?
Total Forecasters81
Community Prediction
13.5%
(8.5% - 18.7%)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <3.5% | 5.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 8.502% | — |
| median | 13.51% | — |
| upper 75% | 18.68% | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >20% | 17.2% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:May 26, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2071
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2073
Spot Scoring Time:May 28, 2023
Authors:
Opened:May 26, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2071
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2073
Spot Scoring Time:May 28, 2023