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9 comments
6 forecasters

What will be the record for log quantum volume over the next five years?

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Authors:
Neniucupricdagger
Opened:May 31, 2023
Closes:Dec 30, 2028
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2028
Computing and Math
🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard
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What will be the "state of the art" for these quantum computing metrics in March, 2028?

Single-qubit relaxation time (T1) (μs)
380M
Coherence time (T2) (seconds)
205
2-qubit gate infidelity
2.01×10⁻⁴
7 forecasters

What will be the speed (in FLOPS) of the fastest supercomputer on record in the following years?

2023
1.2×10¹⁸
2025
3×10¹⁸
2032
8.4×10¹⁹
2 others
69 forecasters

How many qubits will the best quantum processor have by the year 2050?

2.69M qubits
(140k - 18.5M)
2.69M qubits
(140k - 18.5M)
6 forecasters
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