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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?
Forecast Timeline
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| Country | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sudan | yes | |||
Niger | 68% | |||
Democratic Republic of Congo | 61.1% | |||
Haiti | 61% | |||
Afghanistan | 51% | |||
Ethiopia | 50% | |||
Libya | annulled | |||
Venezuela | 38% | |||
Iraq | 37% | |||
Burkina Faso | 37% | |||
Lebanon | 34.2% | |||
Angola | 22% | |||
Russia | 20% | |||
Iran | 18% | |||
Nigeria | 18% | |||
Sri Lanka | 15% | |||
Zimbabwe | 15% | |||
Pakistan | 12% | |||
Egypt | 10% | |||
South Africa | 10% | |||
Sierra Leone | 9% | |||
Colombia | 9% | |||
El Salvador | 8% | |||
Kenya | 8% | |||
Bosnia and Herzegovina | 6.5% | |||
North Korea | 5% | |||
Cuba | 5% | |||
Turkey | 4% | |||
Ecuador | 4% | |||
Mexico | 2% | |||
India | 2% | |||
China | 2% | |||
Israel | 2% | |||
Phillipines | 2% | |||
Kazakhstan | 2% | |||
United States | 1.5% | |||
Saudi Arabia | 1% | |||
Brazil | 1% | |||
France | 1% | |||
Hungary | 1% | |||
Greece | 1% | |||
Jamaica | 1% | |||
Romania | 1% | |||
Latvia | 1% | |||
Argentina | 1% | |||
Thailand | 1% | |||
Vietnam | 1% | |||
Morocco | 1% | |||
Serbia | 1% | |||
Indonesia | 1% | |||
United Kingdom | 0.5% | |||
Germany | 0.5% | |||
Canada | 0.4% | |||
Japan | 0.2% | |||
Australia | 0.2% | |||
Resolved Nov 20, 2023
Community Baseline Score
2.8
Community Peer Score
0.2
Authors:
Opened:Jun 15, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 15, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036