Group

Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

33
210
230 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 46

Make a Prediction

CountryMe
Sri Lanka
13%
Sudan
yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
Democratic Republic of Congo
60%
Afghanistan
53%
Ethiopia
49.4%
Libya
annulled
Iraq
37%
Venezuela
37%
Burkina Faso
35%
Lebanon
34%
Angola
22%
Russia
20%
Nigeria
18%
Zimbabwe
13%
Iran
12%
Pakistan
11%
Egypt
10%
South Africa
9%
Colombia
9%
El Salvador
8%
Sierra Leone
8%
Kenya
7%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
6%
North Korea
5%
Cuba
4%
Ecuador
4%
Turkey
4%
Brazil
2%
Phillipines
2%
Israel
2%
Kazakhstan
2%
Mexico
1.6%
India
1.6%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Morocco
1%
Romania
1%
France
1%
Hungary
1%
United States
1%
Indonesia
1%
Jamaica
1%
Thailand
1%
Serbia
1%
Greece
1%
China
1%
Latvia
1%
Argentina
1%
Vietnam
1%
United Kingdom
0.6%
Germany
0.5%
Canada
0.2%
Japan
0.2%
Australia
0.1%
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Opened:Jun 15, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036