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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

33
210
230 forecasters

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CountryMe
Sudan
yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
60%
Afghanistan
57%
Democratic Republic of Congo
57%
Ethiopia
50%
Libya
annulled
Venezuela
38%
Iraq
37%
Burkina Faso
35%
Lebanon
35%
Angola
22%
Russia
20%
Nigeria
20%
Iran
16%
Sri Lanka
13%
Zimbabwe
12%
Pakistan
12%
Egypt
10%
Colombia
10%
South Africa
9%
Sierra Leone
9%
El Salvador
8%
Kenya
7.5%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
6.5%
North Korea
5%
Cuba
5%
Turkey
5%
Ecuador
4%
Kazakhstan
2.5%
Phillipines
2%
India
2%
Brazil
2%
Mexico
2%
China
2%
Israel
2%
Thailand
1.5%
United States
1.2%
Serbia
1%
Jamaica
1%
Romania
1%
Hungary
1%
Morocco
1%
Saudi Arabia
1%
France
1%
Indonesia
1%
Greece
1%
Latvia
1%
Argentina
1%
Vietnam
1%
United Kingdom
0.6%
Germany
0.3%
Australia
0.1%
Canada
0.1%
Japan
0.1%
Resolved Nov 20, 2023
Community Peer Score
0.2
Community Baseline Score
2.8
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Opened:Jun 15, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036