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Will the following countries experience a civil war before 2036?

33
210
231 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

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CountryMe
Sudan
yes
Niger
67%
Haiti
62%
Democratic Republic of Congo
61%
Afghanistan
52%
Ethiopia
50%
Libya
annulled
Venezuela
38%
Iraq
37%
Burkina Faso
35%
Lebanon
34.2%
Angola
23%
Russia
20%
Nigeria
18%
Zimbabwe
15%
Sri Lanka
14%
Iran
14%
Pakistan
13%
Egypt
10%
South Africa
10%
Sierra Leone
9%
Colombia
9%
Kenya
8%
El Salvador
8%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
6.5%
Turkey
5%
North Korea
5%
Cuba
5%
Ecuador
4%
Brazil
2%
India
2%
Phillipines
2%
Mexico
2%
Israel
2%
Kazakhstan
2%
China
1.6%
Argentina
1.5%
Morocco
1%
France
1%
Saudi Arabia
1%
United States
1%
Romania
1%
Indonesia
1%
Jamaica
1%
Thailand
1%
Hungary
1%
Serbia
1%
Greece
1%
Latvia
1%
Vietnam
1%
United Kingdom
0.6%
Germany
0.5%
Canada
0.2%
Japan
0.2%
Australia
0.1%
Resolved Nov 20, 2023
Community Baseline Score
2.8
Community Peer Score
0.2
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Opened:Jun 15, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036