Question

Will the EU Parliament endorse a negotiating mandate for the AI Act before June 16, 2023?

Resolved:Yes

3 comments3

Total Forecasters33

Community Prediction

62%

(58% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 62%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

0.7

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Jun 3, 2023

Closes:

Jun 16, 2023

Resolves:

Jun 16, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 5, 2023

📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰

Regulation of AI

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2023 Leaderboard

European Parliament Wants To Reduce Cost Of Sustainability Reporting Requirements

Forbes•Jun 28, 2025

Congress might block state AI laws for a decade. Here’s what it means.

TechCrunch•Jun 28, 2025

Moratorium on state AI regulation clears Senate hurdle

TechCrunch•Jun 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

11%

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

57%

Will any 100% AI-generated legislation be passed in the U.S. before 2040?

33%

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Jun 3, 2023

Closes:

Jun 16, 2023

Resolves:

Jun 16, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 5, 2023

📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰

Regulation of AI

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2023 Leaderboard

European Parliament Wants To Reduce Cost Of Sustainability Reporting Requirements

Forbes•Jun 28, 2025

Congress might block state AI laws for a decade. Here’s what it means.

TechCrunch•Jun 28, 2025

Moratorium on state AI regulation clears Senate hurdle

TechCrunch•Jun 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

11%

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

57%

Will any 100% AI-generated legislation be passed in the U.S. before 2040?

33%