Question
When will the first baby of an extinct vertebrate species be born or hatched naturally?
Total Forecasters24
Community Prediction
May 2046
(Feb 2036 - Jun 2065)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Feb 2036 | — |
| median | May 2046 | — |
| upper 75% | Jun 2065 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 11.8% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2101
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 11, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2101
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 11, 2023