Question
When will the first baby of an extinct vertebrate species be born or hatched naturally?
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction
Feb 2043
(Nov 2034 - Mar 2060)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Nov 2034 | — |
| median | Feb 2043 | — |
| upper 75% | Mar 2060 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 12.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2101
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 11, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2101
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 11, 2023