9 comments
106 forecasters
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?
10%chance
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jun 7, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 9, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?
85% chance
55
Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?
2% chance
163
Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?
45% chance
30