54 forecasters

Will OpenAI release a "product" after ChatGPT before 2024?

0.9%chance

0.9%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

dschwarz will_aldred

Opened:

Jun 8, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 9, 2023

2023 Leaderboard

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Wired•Sep 17, 2025

New ChatGPT teen-safety measures will include age prediction and verification, OpenAI says

NBC•Sep 16, 2025

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