Question
When will AI wholly create an original, critically-acclaimed feature film?
Total Forecasters103
Community Prediction
Aug 2031
(13 Jan 2028 - Dec 2037)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<01 Jan 2024 | 3.8% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 13 Jan 2028 | — |
median | Aug 2031 | — |
upper 75% | Dec 2037 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>Jan 2060 | 3.1% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jun 13, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 15, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Jun 13, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 15, 2023