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13
26
forecasters
7
13 comments
26 forecasters
Business of AI
6 more...
What will the most expensive AI training run be in the following years, in millions of USD?
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24 comments
98 forecasters
Greatest Computation Used in AI Training
0 comments
25 forecasters
Dates Large AI Models Released
8
Dec 2034
6
Sep 2034
4
07 Oct 2029
2
07 Sep 2026
10 comments
53 forecasters
Billions of Param of Largest ML Model by 2030
Current estimate
1.29M B
4 comments
2 forecasters
Exfiltration of Compute-Intensive AI Models
Year: 2040 FLOPs: 10e32
99.4%
Year: 2036 FLOPs: 10e32
87.7%
Year: 2028 FLOPs: 10e28
77.5%
Year: 2032 FLOPs: 10e30
72.8%
Year: 2026 FLOPs: 10e26
result:
No
0 comments
13 forecasters
Dates Publicly Downloadable Large AI Models
4
Mar 2033
6
Dec 2032
2
09 Oct 2030
9 comments
81 forecasters
Total Annual Investment in AI Companies
3 comments
8 forecasters
FLOP usage for training transformative AI
Current estimate
5.5×10³⁰ FLOP
3 comments
25 forecasters
Company with AI CEO?
$1 trillion
Dec 2063
$1 billion
May 2060