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What will the most expensive AI training run be in the following years, in millions of USD?
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Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 20
Authors:
Opened:Jun 19, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
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How large will the largest cluster used to train an AI model be, by the end of the following years?
289k
What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?
5.4×10²⁶
When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?
22 May 2029
Authors:
Opened:Jun 19, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
How large will the largest cluster used to train an AI model be, by the end of the following years?
289k
What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?
5.4×10²⁶
When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?
22 May 2029