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10
87
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87 forecasters
AI Demonstrations
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Will an AI system solve one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems before July 2025?
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No
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49 comments
234 forecasters
Next Millenium Prize Problem Solved by AI
35.6%
chance
20 comments
22 forecasters
When will AI solve a Millennium Problem?
Current estimate
Jul 2031
6 comments
62 forecasters
Date of next Millennium Prize Problem award
Current estimate
09 Feb 2031
14 comments
23 forecasters
Millennium Prize problems solution date
P versus NP
Oct 2068
Riemann hypothesis
Nov 2056
Yang–Mills existence and mass gap
Oct 2055
Hodge conjecture
Jul 2051
2 others
5 comments
23 forecasters
IMO AI Prize
2026
78%
2027
17%
2028 or later
3%
2024 or before
result:
No
2025
result:
No
77 comments
300 forecasters
Date AI Wins IMO Gold Medal?
Current estimate
17 Oct 2026
7 comments
48 forecasters
Date P = NP is settled
Current estimate
Sep 2070
22 comments
30 forecasters
General AI solves International Math Olympiad
Current estimate
23 Jul 2026