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111 forecasters

5

111 forecasters

Economy & Business

Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?

1%chance

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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2 comments118 forecasters

AI-authored paper published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?

12 comments175 forecasters

AI system beat human pros in forecasting tournament by 2030?

13 comments45 forecasters

CTs AI Admin Disempowerment Before 2030

172 comments275 forecasters

Which AI world before 2050?

AI-Dystopia29.1%

Singularia17.5%

Paperclipalypse8.7%

10 comments11 forecasters

Employment decline in NAICS 52/54 >1% in any month, 2025-2029?

9 comments81 forecasters

Total Annual Investment in AI Companies

2 comments79 forecasters

By 2035, will NIH, ERC, NSF, or Horizon require AI use reporting in grants?

26 comments148 forecasters

AI incident causes $1bn damage before 2032