Question
When will Sergei Shoigu cease to hold the office of Minister of Defense of Russia?
Resolved:12 May 2024 17:00Total Forecasters61
Community Prediction
27 May 2024
(26 Apr 2024 - 06 Aug 2024)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 26 Apr 2024 | — |
| median | 27 May 2024 | — |
| upper 75% | 06 Aug 2024 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2030 | 0.6% | — |
What was the final result?12 May 2024 17:00
Community Baseline Score
7.3
Community Peer Score
4.8
Authors:
Opened:Jun 16, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2030
Resolves:Dec 31, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 18, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Jun 16, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2030
Resolves:Dec 31, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 18, 2023