65 forecasters

Will OpenAI release an LLM product or API that hallucinates 5x less than GPT-4 did when it was released, by June 30, 2025?

10%chance

10%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 10% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

dschwarz will_aldred

Opened:

Jun 12, 2023

Closes:

Jun 30, 2025

Resolved:

Jul 18, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 14, 2023

AI Technical Benchmarks

Artificial Intelligence

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