Question

By 2017, will research definitively show Zika virus to be the direct cause of microencephaly in developing humans?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction
75%
(55% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 75%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
32.1
Community Peer Score
5.7
Authors:
Opened:Mar 13, 2016
Closes:Apr 13, 2016
Resolves:Apr 13, 2016
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 13, 2016