MetaculusM

conditional

OpenAI solves alignment before June 30 2027?

if yes

if no

Human Extinction by 2100

Human Extinction by 2100

14

Make a Prediction

OpenAI solves alignment before June 30 2027?	Human Extinction by 2100
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 1%

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Health & Pandemics

University of Oxford

Superintelligence

Human extinction

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Health & Pandemics

University of Oxford

Superintelligence

Human extinction