Question
What will President Joe Biden's net approval rating be on November 1, 2024?
Resolved:-17.7Total Forecasters39
Community Prediction
-15.4
(-16.8 - -11.7)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<-20 | 3.6% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | -16.77 | — |
median | -15.37 | — |
upper 75% | -11.7 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>20 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?-17.7
Community Baseline Score
13.1
Community Peer Score
36.0
Authors:
Opened:Jul 9, 2023
Closes:Nov 1, 2024
Resolves:Nov 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 11, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Jul 9, 2023
Closes:Nov 1, 2024
Resolves:Nov 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 11, 2023