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105
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204
forecasters
Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026?
0.1%
chance
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Authors:
tryingToPredictFuture
Opened:
Sep 2, 2023
Closes:
Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:
Sep 3, 2023
Technology
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard
News Match
US can send Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine without depleting stockpiles, War Department finds
New York Post
•
Nov 3, 2025
Pentagon Green Lights Tomahawks for Ukraine Amid Nuclear Tensions—Report
Newsweek
•
Nov 1, 2025
Pentagon cleared giving Ukraine long-range Tomahawk missiles, leaving final decision to Trump
CNN
•
Oct 31, 2025
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