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227 forecasters

Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026?

0.3%chance

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Authors:

tryingToPredictFuture

Opened:

Sep 2, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 3, 2023

Nuclear Technology & Risks

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Ukraine expects $3.5 billion fund for US weapons to sustain fight against Russia, Zelenskyy says

Associated Press•Sep 17, 2025

Russia raises tensions with NATO as Putin shows off his battlefield nuclear weapons

Independent•Sep 16, 2025

Russia shows off conventional and nuclear military might in drills — and raises tensions with NATO

Associated Press•Sep 16, 2025

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