18 comments
214 forecasters
Will a non-test nuclear weapon be detonated by 2020?
12%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 12% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 14, 2016
Closes:Dec 1, 2017
Resolved:Dec 30, 2019
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 15, 2016