32 forecasters

Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025?

0.1%chance

0.1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 21, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 22, 2023

Natural Sciences

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Manhattan-sized interstellar object 3I/ATLAS now turning green as something is ‘switched on’ as it nears Sun

New York Post•Sep 12, 2025

Life On Mars: NASA Rover Finds Compelling Clues In Rock Sample

Forbes•Sep 11, 2025

Life on Mars? NASA says a rock sample shows potential signs of ancient life

NPR Online News•Sep 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch