Question

What percentage of the vote will presidential candidate candidate Javier Milei receive in Argentina's upcoming Open Primaries Elections?

Resolved:Above upper bound
Total Forecasters63
Community Prediction
19.9
(17.7 - 22)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%17.68
median19.87
upper 75%21.96
Upper bound
>301.4%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
-38.7
Community Peer Score
31.0
Opened:Jul 20, 2023
Closes:Aug 13, 2023
Resolves:Aug 20, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 27, 2023