2 comments
77 forecasters
Will there be a confirmed case of Marburg virus in Algeria by July 28th?
0.1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Jul 21, 2023
Closes:Jul 28, 2023
Resolved:Jul 29, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 21, 2023
Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
30% chance
19
How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?
46.9 Deaths
(44.2 - 55.3)
46.9 Deaths
(44.2 - 55.3)
105 forecasters
Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?
33% chance
9