28 forecasters

Will a Navy ship be captured, scuttled, sunk, or critically damaged in the Black Sea before 2025?

95%chance

95%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 95% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 1, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Aug 5, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 3, 2023

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