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22
168
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8
22 comments
168 forecasters
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
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Will Meta launch a Threads web app before October 1, 2023?
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Yes
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23%
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4 comments
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Zuckerberg CEO of Meta until 2031
75%
chance
6 comments
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30%
chance
1 comment
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WhatsApp E2E encryption proven false before 2027?
25%
chance
18 comments
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New 1-Billion Downloads Social Media App
Current estimate
14 Aug 2026
7 comments
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Biren or Moore Threads public by 2028?
Biren
42%
Moore Threads
39%
2 comments
27 forecasters
Date Meta Faces Antitrust Violations
Current estimate
>01 Jan 2030
10 comments
60 forecasters
Will Metaculus, or a licensed derivative, be operated as a public site by a publicly traded company by 2030?
2.4%
chance